Consulo Indicium - 6/13/25
Did You Know? – We’ve finally moved into summertime throughout the entire Northern Hemisphere. It’s refreshing after the winter months when we’re sequestered in our homes (or, at least most of us who live up north). But, now we need to be aware of those little guys who are irritating – the mosquitoes! In a report from the pharma companies, I learned that mosquito bites are responsible for transmitting at least six potentially deadly diseases, including Chikungunya[1], Dengue, Malaria, Yellow Fever, West Nile Virus, and Zika. And, the impact on a global basis is quite significant, although comparatively, here in the USA, under control. For example, Dengue alone (in data from Pfizer) is linked to nearly 400 million infections in over 100 countries each year. They can also be very irritating, even when not transmitting infections. So, lotion up even if you think you live in a “safe” area.
Leading Through Disintermediation and Dismantling – In a move that should not have surprised anyone, DHHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced in the last couple of weeks that he has discharged all 17 members of the CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. His decision came despite the opposition of the American Medical Association, the Infectious Disease Society of America, the American Public Health Association, and various state health care groups. His actions have provoked an increased outpouring of opposition to the unsubstantiated ideas he has now begun to implement as policy for the nation. Meanwhile, there is a growing consensus in the medical profession that Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. should step down as DHHS Secretary.
Mimicking The Human Brain – The quest is on…but we’re not quite there yet! In many respects, it uses brute force by analyzing large amounts of data to derive potential solutions to problems that exist in the real world or identify evolving trends. Furthermore, it separates the memory and the processing functions, which requires larger systems, more energy and as well as more time. However, despite these models having a huge impact on the field of information technology, it pales in comparison to what’s next! The next phase of AI on the horizon goes a step further. No doubt, most of my readers have heard of the new Chinese company, DeepSeek, that represents the next phase of computer technology by using less data and energy in the process of creating “deep learning”.
However, now we are on the cusp of an even more advanced methodology – neuromorphic systems. These are built on research over the last decade on a worm – the Caenorhabditis elegans. Its brain is about the size of the width of a human hair or, mighty small. Neuromorphic systems “learn” as they go, rather than waiting to process a whole grouping of data that is pulled together. It means that these systems can “learn on the fly”. As a result, they can very rapidly identify solutions or solve problems much, much faster AND with fewer resource consumptions than traditional AI models. They are more efficient and effective. They are like the human brain. Hmmm…where does that take us? I’m not sure, but Intel (Hala Point, introduced in 2024) and IBM (North Pole introduced in 2023) are investing heavily in the development of the neuromorphic chip, which combines memory and processing – and which saves substantially on energy consumption. So, down the road (…a relatively short road), we should anticipate that rather than large devices connected to systems, we might anticipate a handheld brain assistant. What do you think of that possibility? Check out this YouTube posting from a recent TedTalk although much of my information comes from Science News.
The Evolving Exodus – There’s a disturbing trend in the American physician medical community, an exodus that seems to be accelerating over the last six months. In particular, Canada seems to be a winner in gaining physicians from south of the border. According to the Medical Council of Canada, the number of American physicians creating accounts on physiciansapply.ca has increased by 750%, from 71 applications to 615. Yikes! Applications to the Council are where it starts for physicians seeking licensure in Canada, so it’s a good indicator. In addition, a recruiter for CanAm Physician Recruiting offered the following reasons: “The doctors that we are talking to are embarrassed to say they’re Americans. They state that right out of the gate: ‘I have to leave this country. It is not what it used to be.” While the number of applicants (= 71) is not large compared to the total number of physicians providing services in the USA, the percentage increase is indicative of the problem we seem to be facing. In a corollary movement, there have been suggestions here in the State of Maine that we should ask for admission to Canada (NOTE: I’m not pushing the idea.) Hmmm…that would not solve our problems. We already have a shortage of physicians – especially in the rural areas, like much of America.
On The Cusp Of A Major Breakthrough – While it’s not at the top of the streaming news in recent years, HIV continues to be a major problem throughout the world. The issue is that HIV holds a unique ability that prevents it from being overtaken by other means (drugs, etc.). Specifically, the virus holds the unique ability to remain hidden away in the body – away from the reach of drugs and the immune system – by hanging out and hiding in white blood cells. In essence, this unique ability has prevented medical providers from eliminating the virus from individuals who are infected. However, a group of scientists in Australia appears to have created a breakthrough on this front. Specifically, they created a lipid substance that would be accepted by the white blood cells by using mRNA to direct the white blood cells to accept the lipid material. They were surprised and excited. It revealed a mechanism for gaining entry to the hidden virus that lingers inside those with HIV infections. The only problem is that the methodology will require a whole series of clinical trials and tests with groups of HIV individuals before proving the utility of the method. But keep your eye on this one because the pace of scientific findings has been accelerating in recent years. Hopefully, the recent retrenchment will not slow these types of efforts, but we will have to wait and see…
Wouldn’t It Be Nice ‘Cause…’Tis The Season – I mean the Flu and COVID-19 season, where we need to roll up our sleeves and get those immunizations[2]. In a similar vein to the above commentary, researchers have created a novel mRNA vaccine that takes on both the flu and COVID-19 by using mRNA. A recent study was completed that involved over 8000 participants divided into two age groups: 50-64 years and 65+ years (= that’s me and mine). The vaccine was equally capable of preventing infections across the board and did better among the younger oldsters. Also, the reported adverse reactions were mild, and no severe reactions were related to the administration of the vaccine. The study was completed by Moderna, a major pharmaceutical player in the immunization area.
There’s A Reason To Be Anxious – There is a lot of discussion these days about “deep fakes,” or information that is patently untrue but seems true in the presentation provided on social media. To gain a better understanding of the problem, I suggest that you check out Henry Ajder’s new podcast – The Future Will Be Synthesized. Deep fakes are increasingly interspersed with real information but include disinformation. Ajder points out that we are witnessing the use of deep fakes as part of efforts to destabilize democracy. If we turn to the Russian-Ukrainian war, it’s clear that the use of media rather than bullets – along with drones – is becoming the norm in that war. For example, in the formative weeks of the war, a fake Zelensky presentation was posted on social media in the first two weeks of the war. However, it was in the Ukrainian social media by the Russian information war team. More recently, we are seeing disinformation related to interpersonal relationships, business operations, pornography depictions and the like. These deep fakes create posts that use the voices, faces, background, etc. of real information sources but with fake messages. Where it goes from here is an open question. Will it have an impact on health care? Absolutely!!! We need to start thinking about these issues along with the others highlighted in this week’s report.
Houston, We DO Have A Problem – I will never forget April 1970 when Astronaut Jim Lovell in a very calm voice shared those words for all to hear as we sat glued to the national television broadcast of Apollo 13. The astronauts had experienced an oxygen tank explosion, which came very close to precipitating a near-disastrous mission. Since that time, the phrase – “Houston, we have a problem” – has been uttered in various forms by lots of different people, usually with a calm voice, to denote a MAJOR problem. I use it today because while I disagree with the many, many policy and personnel changes that are occurring at the federal level in health care, I agree we have a problem.
Specifically, the federal deficit is now at $35+Trillion (a figure that is hard to even imagine). And, if it is not paid down, we will be leaving our children and grandchildren with an albatross around their neck that – in my estimation – will create havoc (more than we are experiencing now) in society. So, why is that a health care issue? Because, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), under the “extended-baseline scenario” (i.e., key assumption: current law remains unchanged), the total USA health care spend is projected to reach about 31% of GDP by 2035. Fully a third of our yearly spend will be on health care. However, there is also a “policy modification scenario” published by CBO, citing a lower figure (i.e., roughly 26+/- % of GDP in 2035) by incorporating policy or cost controls in the USA health care. My consistent message for the last decade is: WE NEED TO DO SOMETHING ABOUT MANAGING HEALTH CARE COSTS MORE EFFECTIVELY!! The core issue, it seems to me, is that we have built a premier health care system, but it is fraught with inefficiencies and stands on a foundation based on a fee-for-service model. I have argued for some time now that we need to become much more serious about “paying for quality”. To accomplish that objective, we need policy derived from “value-based care delivery” initiatives.
[1] I had never heard of Chikungunya, so I looked it up. According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC.gov), Chikungunya is endemic primarily in Southeast Asia, Central and South America, Sub-Saharan Africa, Southern France and Italy, and the Indian Ocean Islands – so, travel to these areas requires repellents to prevent the transmission of diseases.
[2] I got mine this past week at Walgreens – and, you should too!!